Taiwan: China's next target? | DW Analysis

  • 🎬 Video
  • ℹ️ Description
Despite China’s increasingly aggressive behaviour both at home and abroad, Beijing’s open threat to take control of Taiwan by force is receiving comparatively little attention – leaving this flourishing liberal democracy uniquely isolated and vulnerable. The threat may be far more imminent than many imagine. According to Taiwan’s Foreign Minister Joseph Wu “the Chinese authoritarian leaders may find Taiwan as a convenient scapegoat. Therefore Taiwan needs to be doubly concerned about a possible Chinese use of force against us.”


5:09 What is Taiwan?
16:05 Why China wants Taiwan
26:25 Scenario 1: Chipping away
33:10 Scenario 2: Crimea 2.0
41:18 Scenario 3: Invasion
49:05 What now?

In this video DW's Chief International Editor Richard Walker explores the roots of the threat in depth – aided by military and strategy experts from Taiwan, China, the United States and Germany. He charts the dramatic expansion in Beijing’s navy and advanced missile arsenal that is shifting the balance of power against the U.S. in the Pacific. The video examines three possible scenarios: China gradually chipping away at Taiwan’s stability via military and hybrid means; a sudden, Crimea-style annexation of outlying islands; and a full-scale invasion. This final scenario would pose extremely dangerous for global stability. “Everything that happens in this scenario happens under the shadow of a potential nuclear war,” warns Ian Easton, author of “The China Invasion Threat.”

Adding to Taiwan’s profound vulnerability, there is growing doubt that the any country would come to its aid in the event of Chinese military action – or even have the capability to do so. “Even five years ago, the ability of the United States to come to Taiwan’s defense was greater than it is today,” warns Bonnie Glaser, one of Washington’s top experts on the region. “It has eroded over the last decade. And that is, I think, problematic.”

In the U.S., Congressman Ted Yoho of the House Foreign Affairs Committee explains his bill that would commit the U.S. to come to Taiwan’s defence, ending the longstanding “strategic ambiguity” that he and some experts see as destabilizing. But could this in itself pose greater dangers? Europe must also take the threat more seriously, argues leading German expert Janka Oertel. “We have not devoted enough energy to these kinds of scenarios. What we lack is a European conversation about what kind of player Europe in the future would like to be in these kinds of scenarios.” m concludes with a passionate plea from Joseph Wu for democracies to end Taiwan’s diplomatic isolation from global bodies like the U.N. and the World Health Organization: “It's not fair to the Taiwanese people.”
What should the democratic world do to minimize the risk of an open conflict between China and Taiwan?

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💬 Comments on the video

DW: “The world need to pay attention”. Meanwhile in EU: them sweet, sweet Chinese investment money

Author — Frank Guo


“I know exactly what we need to solve this.”
“The UN?”
“No that never works.”

Author — AtkaOrca Drawings


I tell you this. We appease. We lose. Remember when you did appeasement to a certain guy with a funny mustache.

Author — Francisco


So this is how it feels to be treatened by Winnie the Pooh!

Author — spikemansss


It's like watching the bully pick on the little guy, taking his launch, taunting him. And no one is doing anything to help him

Author — MrMikahT


Lol next target? Bruh Taiwan's been China's target ever since 1949.

Author — A W


"China's Next Target?" Nah they've always been a target lmao

Author — IDOlaudah


Thank Bill Clinton for decommissioning half of the US Navy ships.

Author — Gear para dummies


This reminds me of America independence to the uk anyone else getting this vibe

Author — Biohazard R3X


Stop buying made in China products, the world citizens must participate, the united will of the people of the world would make them understand we are in this together.

Author — Cooper-Luna Yen


It is an unfortunate fact that we can secure peace only by preparing for war.
- John F Kennedy

Author — Akash Dobhal


Things that always dissapear when you need them most:
and *The United Nations.*

Author — Wei Jerry


"China wants and will export it's political ideology and totalitarian system to the world" is the biggest assumption on this topic, hahaha 😂😂😂

Author — 金陵*SHOUNING*


53:18 trust me (the random inet guy) germany is no military treat to anyone and certainly not to china. our army has incopetend leaders and is badly armed. yes i served and saw our generals/ksk 1. hand

Author — maik baumann


NEXT? You really dont know China at all
Taiwan is Always the first Target

Author — Iam Fresh


Fun fact: People’s Republic of China and Republic of China are still under civil war since 1946.

Author — Dream X


CCP military hasn't lost a parade yet. Big deal.
Who have they fought?

Author — Brian Jones


Something wrong with this history time line, as I remember Chiang Ching-kuo was the one that lifted the martial law and move ROC in the direction of democracy, not Li ting hui.

Author — Ohara Ki


Some of this sounds familiar as to what is happening in my country.

Author — Marlon Elrod


taiwan is so well equipped with the best warplanes, warships etc it has the largest chemical weapons in the world

Author — eduardo quirino